Trump Reignites Tariff Storm, Cryptocurrency Market Faces Another 'Black Monday'

By: blockbeats|2026/01/19 12:00:01
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Original Title: "Black Monday" Strikes Again, Is Trump Once Again the "Flash Crash Engine"?
Original Author: Wenser, Odaily Planet Daily

Upon waking up, the crypto market once again experienced a "Monday-style flash crash."

After BTC briefly rose above $97,000 last week, its weekly close ended up above $95,000. Just as the market was expecting BTC to lead a overall crypto market recovery, a long-awaited "sharp correction" struck again — in just a few hours, BTC dropped below $92,000, currently trading around $92,750; ETH dropped below $3,200, currently trading at $3,213; SOL quickly dropped below $140, currently trading around $133. Coinglass data shows that $593 million was liquidated in the past 4 hours, with long liquidations totaling as high as $566 million; the number of liquidated accounts in 24 hours reached as many as 238,400.

And the main cause of this "Black Monday" might still be a series of Trump's maneuvers.

Unexpected Turn of Events in Fed's New Chair Nomination: "Dovish" Hassett Likely Out, "Hawkish" Kevin Warsh's Odds Soar

As the "heart of the U.S. economy," the Federal Reserve has always played the role of the "Invisible Hand of God" in the U.S. and even global economic system with its monetary privilege, independent status, and aloof attitude. The selection of the Fed's chairperson is the most crucial figure behind this "Invisible Hand of God." With current Chair Powell set to step down, the nomination of a new chair is crucial and is therefore seen as a "market indicator."

Previously, White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett was considered a hot contender due to his "pro-Trump" and "rate-cut support" dovish stance. However, Trump has not given a clear indication, and recently, the range of nominees for the new Fed chair has narrowed down to include Fed Governor Christopher Waller, former Governor Kevin Warsh, and BlackRock executive Rick Rieder, and Hassett.

However, the latest news indicates that Hassett may be out, while on the contrary, Kevin Warsh's odds are soaring. White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett stated that Trump is likely to let him remain in his current position, which would take him out of the running for the next Fed chair. Trump expressed reservations last week about nominating Hassett to succeed current Fed Chair Powell. At a White House event, he told the chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers, "To be honest, I really hope you can stay in your current position." Hassett also said last Sunday regarding the White House, "There are many excellent candidates, and the president is likely to make the right decision, believing that my best position is here now." He felt "surprised and grateful" for Trump's comments about his future, calling the president "a really good person."

After Trump's speech, traders on the prediction market website Kalshi increased the likelihood of Walsh getting the job to 60%, while Hassett and Waller's chances were only 16% and 14%, respectively. Polymarket traders also expressed a similar sentiment, with Walsh's support at 60%, Hassett at 15%, and Waller at 13%. Previously, Walsh and Hassett were evenly matched in winning odds.

Powell's term as Fed Chair will end on May 15. The selection process is led by US Treasury Secretary Besen. Interestingly, last night, US Treasury Secretary Besen stated externally: "Trump is committed to safeguarding the Fed's independence. We have four outstanding Fed Chair candidates. The Senate is expected to be satisfied with the election of any of these four candidates."

Previously, Trump stated that he would appoint Powell's successor this month but did not provide a specific date. As Trump approaches his first anniversary in office, the market may not have developed enough resilience to deal with Trump's ambivalent attitude, leading to a significant drop in crypto market confidence and a subsequent flash crash.

Trump's "Tariff War Hat Trick": Greenland Island Dispute, EU-US Trade War

On the other hand, from the perspective of the global economic situation as a whole, destabilizing factors are also increasing.

Greenland Island Becomes a Focus of EU-US Politics, Tariff Storm Resurfaces

As a major enclave of the EU, Greenland has long been regarded by Denmark as its "own backyard," but now, this situation may be undergoing a change.

In May last year, Trump once boasted that he did not rule out the possibility of "military invasion of the island"; and half a year later, earlier this year, this boast was reiterated by White House press secretary Levitt: the matter of buying Greenland is currently under discussion. Military seizure of Greenland is not ruled out, and all options are being considered.

Following the "Lightning Raid on the Venezuelan Presidential Palace, Arresting Maduro," this external statement undoubtedly caused some alarm among Greenland, multiple EU countries, and even global nations.

Previously, the Trump administration once considered spending money to persuade the people of Greenland to break away from Denmark and "join" the US, with the cost being a one-time payment of $10,000 to $100,000 to each of the 57,000 Greenlanders. It has to be said that, in Trump's historically unpredictable view, there is always an "economic calculation" behind politics.

Ultimately, the "Greenland Crisis" evolved from a territorial dispute into a "High Tariff Trade War." On January 18, Trump made a high-profile post, stating that starting from February 1 of this year, the U.S. will impose a 10% tariff on all goods exported to the U.S. from Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the UK, the Netherlands, and Finland due to the Greenland issue, with plans to raise the tariff to 25% on June 1. The above tariff measures will continue until an agreement is reached on the "complete purchase of Greenland." Demonstrating a resolute attitude, it can be described as "no stopping until the goal is achieved."

Impacted by this news, several EU countries are considering imposing tariffs on $930 billion worth of U.S. goods exported to Europe.

In April of last year, a similar "tariff trade war" was initiated by Trump. This factor continues to be a key influence on the crypto market and even the global economy.

Furthermore, Trump's actions not only involve the "territorial dispute" but also carry a strong sense of an "economic counterattack."

Trump: EU's Huge Fines on U.S. Tech Companies Extremely Unfair

On January 15, U.S. President Trump posted online, stating that the EU's huge fines on U.S. tech companies are extremely unfair and discriminatory against U.S. outstanding technology and taxation. Relevant data shows that by 2024, the total fines imposed by the EU on U.S. tech companies will reach 38 billion euros, while the total income tax of all European publicly listed Internet technology companies during the same period is only 32 billion euros. Currently, U.S. tech giants such as Apple, Google, and Meta are facing fines or back tax rulings of billions of euros from the EU. It is evident that Trump's "high-pressure policy" towards the EU on economic sovereignty has been a long-standing issue.

"Crypto-Friendly Legislation" Faces Obstacles, Potential Impact on Market Decline: CLARITY Faces Consensus Crisis

In addition to the macro-level events, the CLARITY Act closely related to the crypto market facing obstacles may have provided some assistance to the sudden increase in selling pressure and price collapse in the market.

View: U.S. Senate Delays Crypto Market Structure Act, Regulatory Uncertainty Rises, Pressure on Related Assets

Galaxy Digital's Head of Research, Alex Thorn, previously stated that the U.S. Senate Banking Committee's scheduled hearing on the Crypto Market Structure Act has been postponed, highlighting deep-seated disagreements between Congress and the industry on multiple key issues, particularly focusing on stablecoin yield mechanisms and DeFi-related provisions.

The delay occurred after Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong withdrew his support for the bill hours later. Armstrong publicly opposed the bill's wording on tokenized securities, DeFi restrictions, and stablecoin yields. Senate Banking Committee Chairman Tim Scott then announced a postponement of the hearing but has not yet announced a new schedule. Due to the Senate's recess next week, the earliest resumption could be between January 26 and 30.

Alex Thorn pointed out that within just 48 hours, the draft bill was released late at night, over 100 amendments were submitted, stakeholders continued to discover new points of contention at the last minute, and the political coordination difficulty significantly increased. On the market side, after the delay announcement, cryptocurrency prices generally declined, with Bitcoin and Ethereum falling by about 2% on the same day; related U.S. stocks also came under pressure, with Coinbase falling 6.5%, Robinhood falling 7.8%, and Circle falling 9.7%.

He believes that although there has been a largely consensus on the "market structure" itself, highly sensitive non-core but issues such as stablecoin yields, DeFi compliance, and giving the SEC regulatory tools in the tokenized securities field have formed a deep political rift that is difficult to bridge. "The surface gap of the discord is not large, but the substantive gap is very deep."

Previously, several tokenization companies such as Securitize, Dinari, and Superstate had rebutted Coinbase's opposition to the CLARITY Act.

Summary: Pullback Likely to Continue, Traders Taking Profits in Stages

Over the weekend, trader Eugene had previously posted in his personal channel, stating that due to the market performance of related investment targets not meeting expectations, he chose to take profits in stages, and has now mostly exited his altcoin long positions. However, his core Bitcoin long positions are still held, and he has significantly increased his cash position to await the next round of trading setups.

Considering the rebound of BTC from the $85,000 to $90,000 range to above $97,000, due to factors such as expectations of macro interest rate cuts, the global political and economic situation, and the rise in prices of precious metals such as gold and silver, taking profits may be the best choice.

From this perspective, the cryptocurrency market's pullback may continue in the short term, and whether it can return to the bull market trend may, like last year, still depend on hoping for a "TACO-style performance" from Trump.

Original Article Link

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China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk


Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:


To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:


  Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:


  I. Clarify the essential attributes of virtual currency, Real-World Assets tokenization, and related business activities


  (I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.


  The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.


  A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.


(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.


  Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.


  II. Sound Work Mechanism


  (III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.


  The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.


  (IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  III. Strengthened Risk Monitoring, Prevention, and Disposal


  (5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.


  (6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.


  (7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.


  (8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.


  (IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.


  (X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.


 (XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.


  (XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.


  IV. Strict Supervision of Domestic Entities Engaging in Overseas Business Activities


(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.


  (XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.


  (15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.


  V. Strengthen Organizational Implementation


  (16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  (17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.


  VI. Legal Responsibility


  (18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.


  (19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.


  This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.


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